VITAL DX v4.0 • VERIFIED QUANTITATIVE BRIEFING
Bayesian Positive Predictive Value: 98% Sens / 96% Spec / 10% Prevalence
With 98% sensitivity, 96% specificity, and 10% disease prevalence, the Positive Predictive Value (PPV) of a positive test is 73.1%.
Bayes Theorem: PPV = TP / (TP + FP) = (98% × 10%) / [(98% × 10%) + (4% × 90%)] = 73.1%.
FAQ: What is the PPV when sensitivity is 98%, specificity is 96%, and prevalence is 10%?
The Positive Predictive Value (PPV) is 73.1%, meaning 26.9% of positive results at 10% prevalence are false positives.