VITAL DX v4.0 • VERIFIED QUANTITATIVE BRIEFING
Bayesian Positive Predictive Value: 94% Sens / 98% Spec / 2% Prevalence
With 94% sensitivity, 98% specificity, and 2% disease prevalence, the Positive Predictive Value (PPV) of a positive test is 49.0%.
Bayes Theorem: PPV = TP / (TP + FP) = (94% × 2%) / [(94% × 2%) + (2% × 98%)] = 49.0%.
FAQ: What is the PPV when sensitivity is 94%, specificity is 98%, and prevalence is 2%?
The Positive Predictive Value (PPV) is 49.0%, meaning 51.0% of positive results at 2% prevalence are false positives.