VITAL DX v4.0 • VERIFIED QUANTITATIVE BRIEFING
Bayesian Positive Predictive Value: 84% Sens / 86% Spec / 2% Prevalence
With 84% sensitivity, 86% specificity, and 2% disease prevalence, the Positive Predictive Value (PPV) of a positive test is 10.9%.
Bayes Theorem: PPV = TP / (TP + FP) = (84% × 2%) / [(84% × 2%) + (14% × 98%)] = 10.9%.
FAQ: What is the PPV when sensitivity is 84%, specificity is 86%, and prevalence is 2%?
The Positive Predictive Value (PPV) is 10.9%, meaning 89.1% of positive results at 2% prevalence are false positives.