VITAL DX v4.0 • VERIFIED QUANTITATIVE BRIEFING

Bayesian Positive Predictive Value: 82% Sens / 92% Spec / 10% Prevalence

With 82% sensitivity, 92% specificity, and 10% disease prevalence, the Positive Predictive Value (PPV) of a positive test is 53.2%.

Bayes Theorem: PPV = TP / (TP + FP) = (82% × 10%) / [(82% × 10%) + (8% × 90%)] = 53.2%.
FAQ: What is the PPV when sensitivity is 82%, specificity is 92%, and prevalence is 10%?

The Positive Predictive Value (PPV) is 53.2%, meaning 46.8% of positive results at 10% prevalence are false positives.